While the company has not revealed the specific launch date of the console yet, eager fans have been digging through FCC filings and connecting the dots to predict when the console could land. As per their findings, it could happen on or before June 29.
FCC filings may have revealed Valve’s launch window
First spotted by Notebookcheck, Reddit user u/wayTooManyBugs examined the FCC documentation of past Valve hardware and pointed out a pattern in how the Steam Controller’s launch was handled. According to the findings, the Steam Controller was submitted to the FCC on November 24, 2025, but its user manual and product images were kept confidential until May 20, 2026. The interesting part is that these documents only became publicly available after the device had already gone on sale.
The same pattern now appears to apply to the Steam Machine. Valve reportedly submitted the Steam Machine’s FCC documents around the end of 2025, and its user manual and product images are scheduled to become public on June 29, 2026. Going by the Steam Controller timeline, fans believe Valve may launch the Steam Machine before those documents are released publicly.
Valve
In other words, June 29 may not be the exact launch date, but it could act as the latest possible date by which the Steam Machine arrives. All that said, this is just a theory at this point, but since Valve has confirmed that the Steam Machine will debut sometime this summer, it could very well happen around this window.
Pricing could still make or break the Steam Machine
The biggest question is still pricing. Earlier reports have suggested that the Steam Machine could cost upwards of $1,000, which would make it a hard sell given that its GPU performance is already known to trail the standard PS5. Valve could still soften the blow by absorbing some of the hardware cost upfront, especially if the goal is to get more users into SteamOS and the wider Steam ecosystem. For now, though, the price may be the one thing that decides whether the Steam Machine feels exciting or excessive.
I am a recent convert to physical media — yet even as someone getting back into buying discs in 2026, I haven’t been buying Blu-rays. Like many Americans, I still pick up DVDs instead. These aren’t great times for the Blu-ray format, and don’t expect a turnaround in 2026.
Fewer new releases make their way to Blu-ray
More media is now released exclusively for streaming
Blu-ray has been around for two decades, but it never managed to fully replace, or even overtake, the DVD format it was designed to supersede. We still can’t take for granted that our favorite movies, let alone TV shows, will eventually see a Blu-ray release.
The movies most likely to come to Blu-ray are the ones that hit theaters, but a growing amount of cinema is designed exclusively with streaming platforms in mind. I recently rewatched Mississippi Masala, which led me to check in on what work Sarita Choudhury has done over the decades since. A film called Evil Eye released in 2020 caught my eye. Unfortunately, it’s only available via Prime Video. There’s no Blu-ray or even a DVD. In contrast, it’s easy to watch Michael B. Jordan in Sinners on Blu-ray, since that movie came to theaters last year.
You could say that it makes sense that a movie with a 4.8/10 rating on IMDb doesn’t see a physical release, but in the heyday of physical video, store shelves were stacked not only with just the big-budget bangers but plenty of straight-to-DVD movies as well. Now those films exist to pad out streaming catalogs instead.
Fewer big box stores stock their shelves with physical discs
Blu-ray discs have disappeared from some stores entirely
Best Buy
The format’s demise is striking. I frequent my local Best Buy quite often and don’t see any movies on display. That’s because the retailer stopped selling movies in stores several years ago. Walmart still sells them, but the selection is a fraction of what you could find ten or twenty years ago. The audience has been reduced down to the shrinking number of people whose internet at home can’t handle streaming and those who might think of themselves as collectors.
If you venture onto Reddit and visit r/Blu-ray, you will find more threads about thrift store hauls and older collections than excitement over the latest new release. Don’t get me wrong — I, too, am very excited about seeing what gems I can snag for only a couple bucks, but this shows the challenge retailers face. Increasingly, only enthusiasts are prepared to drop over $20 on a disc.
I’m not buying discs to stick them in a player
Credit: Bertel King / How-To Geek
The simple truth is that most people don’t want to buy physical media. Discs don’t fit in phones, and the drives are no longer available in most laptops. Even desktop PCs lack a place to put a disk. I recently built a PC for the first time in part to digitize my media library, and I rely on an external DVD drive connected via USB. Yes, DVD, not Blu-ray. A smaller file size combined with upscaling is easier on my hard drive.
Retro nostalgia hasn’t helped Blu-ray in the same way it has aided vinyl. This is in part because most people simply don’t care all that much about video quality. Most are streaming video on Netflix and YouTube at middling settings on small screens, and many of us are acclimated to mid-range phone speakers, compared to which even the subpar built-in speakers on modern TVs sound like a huge step-up. It’s hard to convince large numbers of people to purchase an expensive version of a movie in a format that requires thousands of dollars of home media equipment to truly appreciate.
4K Ultra HD is in an even worse position
It’s been a decade, yet few people own these discs
The 4K Ultra HD Blu-ray format is an enhancement, rather than a replacement, of the Blu-ray discs that first appeared in 2006. Debuting in 2016, the 4K Ultra HD format supports the max resolution of a 4K TV.
4K TVs were still somewhat of a novelty ten years ago, but they’re cheap and commonplace today. Still, people aren’t demanding 4K-quality Blu-ray movies as a result. These discs are still less common than 1080p ones, which are themselves still outnumbered by DVDs.
This isn’t merely a matter of consumers preferring the cheaper option. Often, 4K simply isn’t a choice, or it’s one that arrives significantly later, like the Switch port of a PC title. Some recent films, like Exit 8, are slated to see a physical release over the summer yet will still be in 1080p when they do. Adoption of the newest format has been that slow.
The industry isn’t helping itself, either. 4K Ultra HD Blu-ray discs come with DRM and aren’t easy to play on a modern PC, further limiting potential growth. They do not want anyone pirating these super high-quality versions. When you consider that some of these 4K Blu-rays have an AI upscaling problem, you’re paying more for what may not even be the best version.
Blu-ray is seeing fewer releases, is available in fewer places, and is less accessible in the ways many of us want to watch TV shows and movies in 2026. With our portable devices getting better and internet speeds getting faster, it’s hard to see physical video staging a turnaround, even if we’re still a long way off from it going away entirely.
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